Grierian
Proof Machine

One economy. Two excellent stories.

Paper

The causal certainty generator

Prove almost
anything.

Name a country, a year, and an event. We’ll search the same public data for two tidy counterfactuals—and two completely incompatible conclusions, all in line with Grier and Grier's completely legitimate economic work.

Advanced manufacture settings
Datasets

Controls enumerate every support from one donor through the selected maximum. Limits keep each dataset below 175,000 candidate supports and the combined search below 700,000.

Loading the economic record…

Testimonial evidence

The experts have spoken.

Testimonials on Grier's work. All these academics and experts of pristine repute cannot be wrong. We must accept it: the Modiverse is real, Pewdipie’s “Bitch Lasagna” (2018) boosted the Indian economy, and “International Gorillay (1990)” boosted Pakistan’s economy at the expense of Britain. The alternative would be to believe that every one of these celebrated experts is an innumerate impostor who has never understood how anything works.

(Grier’s work has also been reposted by: Tyler Cowen, Hussein Kanji, Farah Pandith, Sandhya Ramesh, Seema Chisti.)

“I’ve lost track of the number of people who have sent me this elegant paper [Grier] comparing Modi’s record as PM with India’s trajectory before he took office. Short version: It hasn’t quite worked out as advertised.”

— Sadanand Dhume ↗

“The economic consequences of Mr. Modi. By most measures, India has grown rapidly under Modi. But less so than its peers and past trajectory would have predicted, per @rgrier88 & @ez_angus”

— Justin Sandefur ↗

“What a paper! Comparing India’s trajectory with and without Modi.”

— Saurabh Chandra ↗